Summary




Paleoseismicity is defined as the study of the occurrence, size, timing, and frequency of prehistoric earthquakes. Paleoseismic data may be gathered from fault exposures, faulted landforms, fault scarps, stratigraphic features, and geomorphic features. The main goal of paleoseismology is the study of large earthquakes of the past on the basis of their geologic and geomorphic expression to provide new and useful information for seismic hazard evaluations. The recognition and dating of individual paleoearthquakes and/or of the cumulated deformation produced by repetead earthquakes on the same fault permit to characterize the seismic behaviour of the fault itself. In fact, using traditional geologic and geomorphologic metholodologies, paleoseismological investigations provide the insights to estimate the main parameters indicating the behaviour of a seismogenic (earthquake-producing) fault. Results of trenching across the eastern Duzce Fault document that surface rupture has occurred repeteadly on the fault prior to the 1999 Duzce earthquake, and that offset during previous earthquakes occurred at the same location and with similar amounts and type of slip as that of the 1999 earthquake. The most recent pre-1999 earthquake on the fault occurred about 300 years ago. At least four and possibly five earthquakes (including 1999) have occurred in the past 2100 years. The earthquake recurrence interval ranges from 300 to 800 years. Trench investigation across the surface rupture zone associated with the Mudurnu Valley, western Turkey, earthquake of July 22, 1967, and revealed evidence for the last two faulting events including the 1967 earthquake. On the basis of the radiocarbon dates of sediments in the trench, the occurrence of  the penultimate event is estimated most conservatively after 1480 A.D., but it is likely believed that the event occurred shortly after 1650 (±20) A.D. The penultimate event is likely to be correlated with the Anatolian earthquake of August 17, 1668, which caused severe damage along the North Anatolian Fault System for about 600 km from Bolu to Erzincan. At present, paleoseismological data exist only for a limited number of seismic regions of the world but these investigations are already started, or are going to be started soon, in several other countries. Steps of the paleoseismological research, describing the more common techniques that are largely suitable for several regions of the globe, may provide good results for recognizing the expression of paleoearthquakes and quantifying the fault parameters.






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