Nats 101 S04 #02
Reading: T&H 1-18
Important Points
1. The physical world is regular and predictable
2. What is science?
3. Why study science?
4. The scientific method (4 parts, with examples).
5. Pseudoscience
The physical world is regular and predictable
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We certainly should start a general science class by defining what science
is, and what it is not.
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The physical world that we live in is regular and ordered. Most physical
events are predictable and we learn them by experience.
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If we were dribbling a basketball and on one of the dribbles the ball bounced
3 stories high, we would be quite surprised. We would probably grab the
ball and examine it, and then look hard at the surface from which it bounced
to figure out how it happened.
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This is what is meant by the phrase that "the physical world is regular
and predictable." The ball will not suddenly bounce 3 stories high, unless there is some good reason.
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I do not mean predetermined!
What is Science?
Science is the tool that we use to understand how the world
works, and how we interact with it. It provides
1. Ideas and theories
2. A method for how to learn more, and how to answer questions
3. A model of the order of the universe, covering the scale from sub-nuclear
to the vastness of the universe.
Why should you study science?
1. Your job may depend upon it, understanding what is going
on may help you to do a better job, understanding new advances may help
you make changes that improve your job.
2. New technologies drive economics, law, business, health, sports,
philosophy, etc. E.g. Clinton’s information age, make semiconductors
in Asia, lose manufacturing jobs here. E.g. Last year Bush cancels federal funding for the
internal combustion engine and instead will support funding for the fuel cell.
The scientific method
Science offers a way to answer questions and to guide research.
This way is called the scientific method. It is composed of 4 parts:
1. Observation
2. Identifying patterns and regularities
3. Hypothesis and theory
4. Prediction and testing
1. Observation
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In order to learn more about the world that we live in we must observe
what is there and what is going on.
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Believe it or not, but this is a rather new idea in the history of mankind
and civilizations. We can actually mark the technological advances by the
time period in which people started to think this way.
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The Greek philosophers argued that one couldn’t deduce the true nature
of the universe by using the senses because the senses lie. Only pure reason
can lead to true understanding. For instance, Plato thought that we were
like people living in a cave and watching shadows on the wall. We could
only perceive the shadows and not the light or the form that created them.
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In the middle ages, reason was replaced by a devout trust in authority
(if you will) or in knowledge that was received by others, for instance
the Greeks, or religious leaders. E.g. At Oxford a question arose concerning
how many teeth a horse has. One person quoted Aristotle, and another
quoted St Augustine. One monk said let's go outside and look in a horse’s
mouth and see. He was physically attacked and thrown out of college.
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These early methods are not scientific because they were not based upon observation.
They may be perfectly self-consistent and were done by very bright people,
but they did not lead to advanced technology or knowledge of what we
now consider to be science.
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I would like to distinguish between observation (observe
nature without interaction, eg astronomers observing the stars) and experiment
(manipulate some aspect of nature and observe its outcome, eg. A chemist
who mixes materials together and sees what happens).
2. Identifying Patterns and Regularities
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When we observe that a particular phenomenon occurs over and over again
we are starting to see how the universe works. For instance, every time
we drop something, it falls.
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When making quantitative observations scientists often like to express
the observations in a mathematical form. So for instance, instead of just
saying objects fall, a scientist will want to know how fast it falls, or
how long it takes to fall a certain distance. The data could be measured
and put into the form of a table or a plot.
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Examination of the data or plot would lead the scientist to observe that
the longer something falls the further it goes. In fact the scientist may
observe that if the object falls for twice as long then it will travel
4 times as far. If it falls for 3 times as long then 9 times as far.
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The results can be summarized in sentence form, in equation form or in
symbols. However, not every observation needs to be expressed with
mathematical data. For instance, if a field was being overtaken by the
neighboring forest, the observation could go something like weeds come
first, then bushes and scrub trees then pines, then hardwoods, etc.
3. Hypothesis and Testing
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Once we have identified and summarized the observation, we can form a hypothesis.
This is an educated guess. It could simply be that when objects are dropped
they fall, or they may be stated in the form of a mathematical equation.
The form is irrelevant. When observing something for the first time a scientist
may form several hypothesis at once and work out which one is the true
one.
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A theory is a description of the world that covers a relatively large number
of phenomena and has successfully described many observations and experiments.
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Eg: You see your girlfriend or boyfriend kissing someone down the block
at a car. The hypothesis can be that they have a new lover, or something
is in their eye, or…. The hypothesis does not have to be true. It is simply
a working assumption. After investigating the situation in whichever way
you do it best, you may come up with a theory: My girlfriend gets a lot
of objects in her eyes, or guys are worthless and always cheat. Do
you see the difference between hypothesis and theory?
4. Prediction and Testing
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Every hypothesis and theory must be tested by prediction. Predict a result
and test to see if it works. For instance, we hypothesize that all objects
fall when dropped, then test it by dropping every sort of object. Each
success makes the hypothesis more likely to be true. Such a test would
fail once we tried to drop a helium-filled balloon. It would also fail
if we did it in space.
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So the role of tests is not only to prove or disprove a theory, but also
to constrain the range of things for which it is true. We would now say
that any solid object dropped on earth would fall.
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If a theory has so much validity that it always seems true then we might
elevate its status to a law of nature. So the generalized laws of nature
that comes from dropping objects are now called "Newton’s laws of motion".
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We never stop testing!!!
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A subject that is not testable is not science.
The Scientific Method in Operation
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These four elements form a cycle that is never-ending.
1. Observation
2. Identifying patterns and regularities
3. Hypothesis and theory
4. Prediction and testing
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Some important points:
1. We do not need to keep an open mind. We usually have some idea and
work from this hypothesis. But we must believe our experiments.
2. There is no right place to enter the cycle.
3. Must be reproducible.
4. The cycle is endless.
5. The cycle is not rigid, bursts of intuition happen.
Pseudoscience
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The central way of knowing in science is based upon the fact that nature
is reproducible. I.e., every idea in science can be tested by anyone at
any time. If an idea cannot yield reproducible results, then it is not
science.
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There are legitimate questions that science can never hope to answer. For
instance, study the Mona Lisa. We can determine the age of the paint, the
chemistry, maybe even some of Mona’s genetic attributes. But we can never
say, with science, if it is a beautiful painting. Or what is the correct
way to respond to seeing it.
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This means that science does not answer all questions. How the world works
and how we can shape it, yes, but not questions like, what is the meaning
of life? Is there a God? What career should I choose? Whom should I marry?
These are not questions that can be solved by observation, hypothesis and
testing. That is why we have religion, philosophy, and the arts.
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Pseudoscience: Creationisms, ESP, UFOs, astrology, crystal power, reincarnation,
etc fail the tests that define science. There is no reproducible test that
will convince people that something is right or wrong. This is called pseudoscience.