Department of Geosciences Environmental Studies Laboratory : Publications

 
An On-line Interface for Integrated Modeling of Wildfire, Climate and Society for Strategic Planning for the Sky Islands

Orr, B.J., W. Grunberg, A.B. Cockerham, A.Y. Thwaits, S.H. Severson, N.M.D. Lerman, R.M. Miller, M. Haseltine, B.J. Morehouse, J.T. Overpeck, S.R. Yool, T.W. Swetnam, and G.L. Christopherson

2005 In:
Proceedings of the 5th Conference on Research and Resource Management in Southwestern Deserts – Biodiversity and Management of the Madrean Archipelago II: Connecting Mountain Islands and Desert Seas, May 11-15, 2004, Tucson, AZ, G.J. Gottfried, B.S. Gebow, L.G. Eskew, and C. Edminster, eds., USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO, pp. 469-473



ABSTRACT

The demand for strategic planning tools that account for climate and human influences on wildfire hazard is growing. In response, the University of Arizona, through an EPA STAR Grant has undertaken interdisciplinary research to characterize the human and climate dimensions of wildfire. The resulting Fire-Climate-Society (FCS-1) prototype model developed for Sky Islands in southeastern Arizona (Catalina/Rincons, Huachucas, Chiricahuas) addresses both the biophysical elements of wildfire probability and the human elements of values-at-risk. An online, spatially explicit application will allow users to choose climate-based scenarios, weight model components through a multi-criteria decision process, and then create spatially explicit maps for dynamic strategic planning.

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Environmental Studies Laboratory, Department of Geosciences, The University of Arizona
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Last updated January 6, 2006
Document located at http://www.geo.arizona.edu/dgesl/publications/abstracts/orr&online&2005.htm

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